The 4th assessment of the New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC4) continues the long-term work of the previous three panels, providing insight into the state of the science on climate change and the implications for adaptation and mitigation policy in New York City.

Building on the longitudinal data afforded by this ongoing research, this assessment centers equity as a shared focus across all working groups. This is achieved through inclusive internal processes for working group activities and explicit attention to uneven impacts and vulnerabilities associated with climate change policy responses.

NPCC4 updates the work of previous panels on the topics of Climate Science, Equity, and Flooding and provides new work on topics that were not covered by previous panels: Futures and Transitions and Energy and Energy Insecurity. Health, which has not been addressed since 2015, is also addressed in NPCC4.

USL NPCC4 Authors

NPCC4 Chapters by USL Authors

Climate Risk Information 2022: Observations and Projections

Braneon, C., Ortiz, L., Bader, D., Devineni, N., Orton, P., Rosenzweig, B., McPhearson, T., Smalls-Mantey, L., Gornitz, V., Mayo, T., Kadam, S., Sheerazi, H., Glenn, E., Yoon, L., Derras-Chouk, A., Towers, J., Leichenko, R., Balk, D., Marcotullio, P., & Horton, R. (n.d.). NPCC4: New York City climate risk information 2022—observations and projections. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15116

Tail Risk, Climate Drivers of Extreme Heat, and New Methods for Extreme Event Projections

Ortiz, L., Braneon, C., Horton, R., Bader, D., Orton, P., Gornitz, V., Rosenzweig, B., McPhearson, T., Smalls-Mantey, L., Sheerazi, H., Montalto, F. A., Golkhandan, M. R., Evans, C., DeGaetano, A., Mallen, E., Carter, L., McConnell, K., Mayo, T., & Buchanan, M. (2024). NPCC4: Tail risk, climate drivers of extreme heat, and new methods for extreme event projections. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15180

Climate Change and New York City’s Flood Risk

Rosenzweig, B., Montalto, F. A., Orton, P., Kaatz, J., Maher, N., Kleyman, J., Chen, Z., Sanderson, E., Adhikari, N., McPhearson, T., & Herreros-Cantis, P. (2024). NPCC4: Climate change and New York City’s flood risk. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15175

Climate Change, Energy, and Energy Insecurity in New York City

Yoon, L., Ventrella, J., Marcotullio, P., Matte, T., Lane, K., Tipaldo, J., Jessel, S., Schmid, K., Casagrande, J., & Elszasz, H. (2024). NPCC4: Climate change, energy, and energy insecurity in New York City. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15117

Concepts and Tools for Envisioning New York City’s Futures

Balk, D., McPhearson, T., Cook, E. M., Knowlton, K., Maher, N., Marcotullio, P., Matte, T., Moss, R., Ortiz, L., Towers, J., Ventrella, J., & Wagner, G. (n.d.). NPCC4: Concepts and tools for envisioning New York City’s futures. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15121

Climate Risk and Equity: Advancing Knowledge Toward a Sustainable Future — Conclusions

Towers, J., Leichenko, R., Braneon, C., Balk, D., Yoon, L., Wagner, G., Ventrella, J., Tchen, J. K. W., Rosenzweig, B., Orton, P., Ortiz, L., Moss, R., Montalto, F., McPhearson, T., McComas, K., Marcotullio, P., Matte, T., Maher, N., Knowlton, K., … Baptista, A. (2024). NPCC4: Climate risk and equity—advancing knowledge toward a sustainable future | Conclusions. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, nyas.15150. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15150